Only four points separated New Zealand and Great Britain last weekend and we're set for another gripping clash in Christchurch on Saturday to conclude the two-Test series.
After a heavy loss to Australia, the Kiwis scored a gritty 12-8 win over the Lions. The game's only three tries came in the second half.
Great Britain are winless on their first southern hemisphere tour in 12 years – having also been beaten by Tonga – and will be desperate to get on the board.
Kiwis: Shaun Johnson and Brandon Smith return to the Kiwis side after missing last week's win over Great Britain. Kieran Foran (shoulder) and Jahrome Hughes drop out of the 17. Kenny Bromwich is expecting the birth of his second child and is out of the side, with Corey Harawira-Naera starting in the pack and Kevin Proctor added to the bench.
Lions: Great Britain winger Zak Hardaker (shoulder) is out of the Lions team in another blow to the wing stocks of Wayne Bennett's side following the loss of Ryan Hall following the first Test. With Hardaker out, Bennett said regular five-eighth Blake Austin would start on the wing.
Dynamic fullbacks Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and Jonny Lomax led the way for their nations in the first Test. Tuivasa-Sheck contributed a match-high 234 metres, a line break and a try assist to propel New Zealand home. Meanwhile, Super League star Lomax topped the metres chart for Great Britain (196) and had a line break assist. A moment of magic from either No.1 could be the difference.
For New Zealand to win
The Kiwis improved on their effort against Australia but they'll be focused on cutting down the errors, having made 10 to Great Britain's six last start. It will also be integral for the returning Shaun Johnson to gain some early confidence, especially with his kicking game. If he's on song, the Kiwis will be hard to stop.
For Great Britain to win
Last week's completion rate of 87% is impressive on paper but the Lions might be better served throwing caution to the wind against the Kiwis. Great Britain have no shortage of attacking talent, so scoring just two tries in two matches on tour suggests they've been too conservative. Wayne Bennett's troops produced eight offloads compared to New Zealand's 13 in the opening match and more second-phase play could be what's needed to break up the black wall.
Great Britain back-rower John Bateman has been tireless across two 80-minute performances, making a combined 78 tackles and 296 metres. Kodi Nikorima was enormous for New Zealand on Test return last Saturday, making 53 tackles at hooker after being brought into the starting side for Brandon Smith.